Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.126267 0.139189 0.152415 0.166936 0.182403 0.198358 0.216032
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.103614 0.122848 0.143507 0.167221 0.193563 0.221804 0.254246
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.084844 0.107643 0.133229 0.163768 0.198919 0.237820 0.283827
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.075725 0.101756 0.132056 0.169378 0.213555 0.263644 0.324184
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.067783 0.096072 0.130119 0.173244 0.225543 0.286077 0.360581
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.060678 0.090487 0.127504 0.175608 0.235226 0.305498 0.393359
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.054098 0.084798 0.124090 0.176402 0.242552 0.321823 0.422350
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.053010 0.086160 0.129521 0.188240 0.263535 0.354794 0.471636
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.048565 0.082461 0.127958 0.190812 0.272716 0.373275 0.503426
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.045101 0.079786 0.127473 0.194556 0.283242 0.393383 0.537298
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.040754 0.075413 0.124317 0.194451 0.288585 0.406888 0.562988
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.039670 0.075796 0.127707 0.203154 0.305473 0.435101 0.607270
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.038385 0.075958 0.131027 0.212216 0.323536 0.465764 0.655970
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.034800 0.072196 0.128467 0.212996 0.330549 0.482376 0.687200
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.030339 0.066570 0.122790 0.209068 0.330989 0.490371 0.707472
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.028943 0.065953 0.124569 0.215790 0.346032 0.517611 0.752761
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.027173 0.064508 0.124945 0.220398 0.358155 0.541092 0.793393
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.025167 0.062433 0.124176 0.223207 0.367726 0.561222 0.829807
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.022963 0.059758 0.122259 0.224150 0.374581 0.577709 0.861534
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.023472 0.062285 0.128876 0.238139 0.400195 0.619750 0.927322
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.021880 0.060561 0.128370 0.241173 0.410103 0.640575 0.965188
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.020656 0.059446 0.128791 0.245585 0.422005 0.664190 1.006927
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.018772 0.056770 0.126393 0.245461 0.427228 0.678638 1.036485